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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.04.10 00:06l 209 Lines 6389 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 16 Apr 2010 22:01:42 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 106 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the last 24 hours. The disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (17-19 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods at high latitudes for days one and two (17-18 April)
due to effects from the CME observed on 13 April. Quiet to
unsettled levels with isolated active periods at high latitudes are
expected for day three (19 April) due to a coronal hole wind stream.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Apr-19 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Apr 075
Predicted 17 Apr-19 Apr 077/078/079
90 Day Mean 16 Apr 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Apr 005/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Apr 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Apr-19 Apr 007/008-008/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Apr-19 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/25
Minor storm 01/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/35/30
Minor storm 10/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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