| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.04.10 00:07l 221 Lines 6768 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : F4KOK0NAG00X
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100415/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 15 Apr 2010 22:05:19 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1271369015-083fa2a60001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 15 Apr 2010 22:27:46.0406 (UTC) FILETIME=[DF865060:01CADCEA]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.67
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1271369015
----boundary_259010_9974d4a0-bc12-4433-8fca-c8299a17fd1a
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 105 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the last 24 hours. The visible disk is spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (16-18 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with isolated active to minor
storm periods from 14/21-15/03Z due to recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream effects. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit briefly reached high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for day one (16 April). Mostly quiet to
unsettled levels are expected for days two and three (17-18 April),
with possible isolated active periods at high latitudes on day three
(18 April). Increased activity levels are due to effects from the
CME observed on 13 April. .
III. Event Probabilities 16 Apr-18 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Apr 075
Predicted 16 Apr-18 Apr 075/077/078
90 Day Mean 15 Apr 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Apr 008/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Apr 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 005/005-007/007-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Apr-18 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/25/30
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/30/35
Minor storm 01/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_259010_9974d4a0-bc12-4433-8fca-c8299a17fd1a
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_259010_9974d4a0-bc12-4433-8fca-c8299a17fd1a--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
