| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 09.04.10 00:04l 236 Lines 7292 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 84KOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100408/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 8 Apr 2010 22:01:56 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1270764021-064e2c540001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 08 Apr 2010 22:24:13.0921 (UTC) FILETIME=[37FB6D10:01CAD76A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.679
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-fingerprint-found: *Unknown-124972974 (778e4caf6e45b68079b68bb82944f46d-2703-htm)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1270764021
----boundary_173621_b917e9cd-ff61-4f13-b18c-f6112ceb14ff
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 098 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. Region 1060 (N25E00)
produced a B3 flare at 08/0325Z with an associated EIT wave and a
earth directed full halo CME. SOHO C2 imagery observed a second CME
at 08/1030Z located along a filament channel in the northeast
quadrant of the disk. This CME is not expected to become
geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance of a C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft show continued influence from
the coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds have averaged
600 km/s with IMF Bz fluctuations ranging from -4/+4 nT. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
very high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (09 April). Days two
and three (10-11 April) are expected to be predominately quiet, as
the high speed stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Apr 076
Predicted 09 Apr-11 Apr 075/075/075
90 Day Mean 08 Apr 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Apr 015/021
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Apr 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/01/01
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_173621_b917e9cd-ff61-4f13-b18c-f6112ceb14ff
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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=----boundary_173621_b917e9cd-ff61-4f13-b18c-f6112ceb14ff--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
