| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.04.10 23:04l 239 Lines 7420 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 74KOK0NAG00U
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100407/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 7 Apr 2010 22:02:42 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1270677655-064e01350001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 07 Apr 2010 22:24:59.0312 (UTC) FILETIME=[289FCB00:01CAD6A1]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.681
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1270677655
----boundary_163001_e39c6fba-4e00-455b-9bd9-a9886d841ad5
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 097 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. Regions 1060
(N24E14) and 1061 (N13W39) remain stable and show slight decay. No
flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm
conditions, with periods of major storming at some high latitude
stations. This activity is a continuation of the CME-driven
conditions from 05 April. The ACE spacecraft currently indicates
the presence of a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
wind speed is averaging 625 km/s with sustained periods of southward
IMF Bz. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached very high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active periods for day one
(08 April) due to coronal hole effects. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected for day two (09 April). Predominately quiet
conditions are expected for day three (10 April).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Apr-10 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Apr 076
Predicted 08 Apr-10 Apr 075/075/075
90 Day Mean 07 Apr 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Apr 022/046
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Apr 015/028
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr 012/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Apr-10 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/10/05
Minor storm 15/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_163001_e39c6fba-4e00-455b-9bd9-a9886d841ad5
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_163001_e39c6fba-4e00-455b-9bd9-a9886d841ad5--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
