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OK0NAG > SOLAR 31.03.10 00:02l 219 Lines 6607 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 30 Mar 2010 22:01:52 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 089 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N15W22) has
shown a slight decay and remains a Beta magnetic configuration.
Region 1059 (S23E36) has shown little change and is a H-type spot
group. The SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery observed a CME today off the
northwest and southeast limbs. An analysis of the activity indicate
the source is likely a backside event and not expected to be
geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for an isolated C-class event. There is a
slight chance for a M-class event from Region 1057.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (31 March
- 02 April).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Mar 083
Predicted 31 Mar-02 Apr 082/082/082
90 Day Mean 30 Mar 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Mar 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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