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OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.03.10 23:03l 218 Lines 6678 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 082 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1057 (N16E73), which was numbered today, produced
two B-class flares, the largest being a B5 long duration flare at
23/1921Z. Region 1056 (N18W34) continued to gradually decay and
simplify.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (24-26 March). There is a
slight chance for C-class flares from Region 1057.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on day one (24 March) and at quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (25-26 March) due to the
arrival of a weak coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Mar-26 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Mar 084
Predicted 24 Mar-26 Mar 084/085/085
90 Day Mean 23 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Mar 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Mar 002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Mar-26 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Mar-26 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/10
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/10/10
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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