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OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.03.10 00:04l 215 Lines 6517 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 20 Mar 2010 22:02:55 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 079 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1054 (N16W82) has
decayed to an Axx Alpha spot and has been quiet. Region 1056
(N18E07) remains stable and quiet as a Bxo Beta region. A fast
moving CME that overtook the CME from 19 March is visible off the
west limb on LASCO C3.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next 3 days (21-23 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with a brief period of
unsettled to active conditions (03-09Z) due to extended Bz south and
slightly elevated solar wind speeds near 420km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet with brief periods of unsettled conditions
over the next 3 days (21-23 March).
III. Event Probabilities 21 Mar-23 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Mar 084
Predicted 21 Mar-23 Mar 084/084/084
90 Day Mean 20 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Mar 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Mar 007/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Mar-23 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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