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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.03.10 00:03l 209 Lines 6293 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 18 Mar 2010 22:02:33 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 077 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Regions 1054 (N16W53) and
1056 (N18E34) remain stable and quiet. Both remain at a Beta
magnetic classification and have produced only low level B-class
flares.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with only a slight chance for a C-class flare
during the next 3 days (19-21 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet, with a brief period of
unsettled conditions between 03-06Z. Solar wind speeds have
decreased to around 400km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next 3 days (19-21 March).
III. Event Probabilities 19 Mar-21 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Mar 086
Predicted 19 Mar-21 Mar 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 18 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Mar 005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Mar 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Mar-21 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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