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OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.03.10 03:06l 226 Lines 6979 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 13 Mar 2010 23:29:24 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 13 2327 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
:::::::::: Corrected Copy ::::::::::
SDF Number 072 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1054 (N15E15) showed growth and is now magnetically
classified as a Beta-Gamma. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (14-16 March).
C-flares are likely from Region 1054. There is a slight chance for
an isolated M-class event from this region.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on the first day (14 March)
and then at mostly quiet to unsettled levels on day two and three
(15-16 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream and
solar sector boundary crossing.
III. Event Probabilities 14 Mar-16 Mar
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Mar 092
Predicted 14 Mar-16 Mar 092/093/094
90 Day Mean 13 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Mar 006/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Mar 003/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar 005/007-007/007-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Mar-16 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/30/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/35/35
Minor storm 05/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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