|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.03.10 00:07l 237 Lines 7302 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : A3KOK0NAG00W
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100310/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 10 Mar 2010 22:02:51 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1268258469-061def4c0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 10 Mar 2010 22:24:29.0437 (UTC) FILETIME=[73403AD0:01CAC0A0]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.72
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1268258469
----boundary_19668_dae2320e-eddf-40f4-988e-67a4bedf1869
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 069 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Two B-class flares
occurred during the past 24 hours. The first was estimated to be a
B3 at 0713Z from spotless plage (in the location of old Region 1046.
The x-ray flux maximum was estimated because it occurred during
GOES-14 eclipse). This event was associated with a CME from the East
limb. The second event was a B1.7 at 1534 UTC that originated from
newly emerged Region 1054 (N12E56), which is currently a small BXO
beta sunspot group. There also appeared to be emerging flux and
possible spot formation near S23W00 but observations are too
preliminary to warrant a Region number assignment.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (11-13 March). However, there is a
slight chance for an isolated C-class event from the newly emerging
regions if they continue to grow.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (11-13 March).
III. Event Probabilities 11 Mar-13 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Mar 080
Predicted 11 Mar-13 Mar 082/082/082
90 Day Mean 10 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Mar 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Mar 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Mar-13 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_19668_dae2320e-eddf-40f4-988e-67a4bedf1869
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_19668_dae2320e-eddf-40f4-988e-67a4bedf1869--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |