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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.03.10 23:08l 227 Lines 6856 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 4 Mar 2010 22:04:37 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Today's activity consisted of a
C2 x-ray event at 1611Z from Region 1052 (S17W70), as well as
numerous B-class events. Regions 1052 and 1053 (S22W77) showed slow
growth during the past 24 hours and exhibited slightly elevated
levels of activity. An overall increasing trend was noted in the
x-ray background levels.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for isolated C-class events during the
next three days (05-07 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft showed a small
increase in speed with values ranging between 440-460 km/s at the
end of the reporting period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (05-07
March).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Mar 081
Predicted 05 Mar-07 Mar 082/082/082
90 Day Mean 04 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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