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OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.02.10 23:07l 201 Lines 6074 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 28 Feb 2010 22:02:03 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 059 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No significant flares were
detected during the forecast period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low due to the return of old Region 1045 (N24, L242).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet on days one and two (01 - 02 March) due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected
to be at quiet levels on day three as the coronal hole effects
subside.
III. Event Probabilities 01 Mar-03 Mar
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Feb 078
Predicted 01 Mar-03 Mar 084/084/084
90 Day Mean 28 Feb 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Feb 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Feb 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar 007/010-007/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Mar-03 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/05
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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