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OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.02.10 23:06l 221 Lines 6662 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 24 Feb 2010 22:00:52 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 055 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1049 (S19W91)
produced an isolated B-class flare as it rotated out of view. New
Region 1051 (N17E66), a Cso/Beta group, also produced isolated
B-class flares during the period. LASCO C2 images indicated a halo
CME, first visible at 24/0354Z, with a plane of sky velocity of
approximately 380 km/sec. The CME was determined to be a backside
event.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period with a slight chance for a C-class flare from
Region 1051.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
Unsettled levels were observed during 24/0300 - 0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels through the period (25 - 27
February).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Feb-27 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Feb 083
Predicted 25 Feb-27 Feb 082/080/078
90 Day Mean 24 Feb 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Feb 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Feb 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Feb-27 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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