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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 4 Jan 2010 22:02:02 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 004 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1039 (S28W72) produced
one C-class flare during the forecast period. This region remains a
D-type sunspot group with a beta magnetic classification.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a likely chance of a C-class flare from Region
1039.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (05 - 07 January).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jan-07 Jan
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jan 073
Predicted 05 Jan-07 Jan 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 04 Jan 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jan 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jan 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jan-07 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jan-07 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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