| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.12.09 23:07l 239 Lines 7438 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : JCJOK0NAG01G
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 091219/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 19 Dec 2009 22:04:07 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1261260244-060c2dbf0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 19 Dec 2009 22:23:50.0515 (UTC) FILETIME=[F0977430:01CA80F9]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.982
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1261260244
----boundary_62410_686f1caa-6ec9-4fa2-88b0-ba01e794a776
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Dec 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 353 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Dec 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was low by virtue of a single C2.9/Sf at
10/0014Z from Region 1035 (N30W56). Since this event, only B-class
x-ray activity, with some weak, low frequency radio emissions have
been observed from this region. Over the past 24 hours, the region
decayed, both in areal coverage and spot number, but retained its
beta magnetic configuration. Two new regions were numbered this
period. Region 1036 (S29W19) emerged on the disk as a 3-spot beta
group, while Region 1037 (N18E54) rotated onto the disk as a 2-spot
beta group. Both regions have been quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days. There is a slight chance for an isolated
M-class event from Region 1035.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods on day one (20 December). This activity is in response to
the expected arrival of the CME observed on 16 December. Days two
and three (21 - 22 December) will see mostly quiet conditions.
III. Event Probabilities 20 Dec-22 Dec
Class M 10/10/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Dec 082
Predicted 20 Dec-22 Dec 082/082/080
90 Day Mean 19 Dec 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Dec 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Dec 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Dec-22 Dec 015/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Dec-22 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 45/15/05
Minor storm 15/05/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/15/05
Minor storm 20/10/01
Major-severe storm 10/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_62410_686f1caa-6ec9-4fa2-88b0-ba01e794a776
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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=----boundary_62410_686f1caa-6ec9-4fa2-88b0-ba01e794a776--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
