| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.09.09 00:05l 210 Lines 6432 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 69JOK0NAG00S
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 090906/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 6 Sep 2009 22:03:56 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1252274648-6420000a0000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 06 Sep 2009 22:21:13.0656 (UTC) FILETIME=[5822AB80:01CA2F40]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam & Virus Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-start-time: 1252274653
----boundary_41274_d2f276a7-cfae-47bd-ab64-4aaa21152562
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Sep 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 249 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Sep 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. A single period of
unsettled levels was observed at mid-latitudes between 06/03-06Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet on day one (07 September). Quiet
to unsettled levels, with isolated active periods possible at high
latitudes, are expected on days two and three (08-09 September). The
increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed
stream that is expected to become geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Sep 069
Predicted 07 Sep-09 Sep 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 06 Sep 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Sep 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Sep 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 005/005-007/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Sep-09 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/20/25
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/25/30
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_41274_d2f276a7-cfae-47bd-ab64-4aaa21152562
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_41274_d2f276a7-cfae-47bd-ab64-4aaa21152562--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
