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OK0NAG > SOLAR 01.08.09 10:05l 102 Lines 3725 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# MONTHLY REPORT ON THE INTERNATIONAL SUNSPOT NUMBER #
# from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Provisional International monthly mean Sunspot Number for
July 2009 : 3.5 (three point five)
Maximum : 16 on 4, 5, 6 // Minimum : 0 on 1, 2, 3, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15,
16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 31
Provisional daily International Sunspot Numbers for July 2009 :
1.. 0 6.. 16 11.. 0 16.. 0 21.. 0 26.. 0 31..
0
2.. 0 7.. 13 12.. 0 17.. 0 22.. 0 27.. 0
3.. 0 8.. 13 13.. 0 18.. 0 23.. 8 28.. 0
4.. 16 9.. 11 14.. 0 19.. 0 24.. 0 29.. 0
5.. 16 10.. 9 15.. 0 20.. 0 25.. 0 30.. 8
63 cooperating stations on August 1, 08 UT
Predictions of the monthly smoothed Sunspot Number using the last
provisional value, calculated for January 2009 : 1.8 (+-5%)
SM CM SM CM SM CM
2009 Feb 2 2 2009 Aug 13 8 2010 Feb 20 19
Mar 2 3 Sep 14 9 Mar 22 21
Apr 2 4 Oct 15 11 Apr 23 24
May 10 5 Nov 17 12 May 25 26
Jun 11 6 Dec 18 15 Jun 26 28
Jul 12 7 2010 Jan 19 17 Jul 28 32
SM : SIDC classical method : based on an interpolation of Waldmeier's
standard curves; the estimated error ranges from 7% (first month) to
35% (last month)
CM : Combined method : the combined method is a regression technique
coupling a dynamo-based estimator with Waldmeier's idea of standard
curves, due to K. Denkmayr.
ref. : K. Denkmayr, P. Cugnon, 1997 : "About Sunspot Number Medium-Term
Predictions", in "Solar-Terrestrial Prediction Workshop V", eds.
G. Heckman et al., Hiraiso Solar Terrestrial Research Center, Japan, 103
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