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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.02.08 00:01l 72 Lines 2815 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 6 Feb 2008 22:02:01 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 037 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet at all latitudes. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (07 Feb). Activity is expected to
increase to unsettled levels during days 2 - 3 (08 - 09 Feb) as a
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream becomes geoeffective.
Isolated active periods are also possible on day 3 (09 Feb).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Feb-09 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Feb 072
Predicted 07 Feb-09 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 06 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Feb 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Feb 002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 005/005-008/008-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Feb-09 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/20/25
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/25/30
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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