| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 05.02.08 00:31l 78 Lines 3267 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 42IOK0NAG01E
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW2OHX<OE6XPE<9A0BBS<OK0NAG
Sent: 080204/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
Priority: normal
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Thread-index: AchneY8PHmZeJnHyRX+WEP5KuUem9Q==
Thread-topic: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Date: Mon, 4 Feb 2008 22:01:56 -0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1202162528-28df00030000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 04 Feb 2008 22:03:56.0421 (UTC) FILETIME=[D64E2B50:01C86779]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Content-class: urn:content-classes:message
Importance: normal
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.3790.4133
X-barracuda-start-time: 1202162533
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. A weak, faint CME was observed in the STEREO-A
and STEREO-B COR2 coronagraphs beginning at 0923Z. The signature on
the ahead coronagraph gave the appearance of a limb event and the
signature on the behind spacecraft looked like a very faint halo
event. Associated disk signatures were clearly observed near S15E20
using the STEREO-B EUVI 195 images which showed an eruptive type of
event, likely the result of a filament eruption.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (05-07 February).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed at ACE
shows a continuing downward trend as the influence of the high speed
stream is waning. The solar wind speed at forecast issue time was
around 500 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was high during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (05-07
February).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Feb 071
Predicted 05 Feb-07 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb 010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Feb 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 02/02/02
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
