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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.02.08 03:01l 72 Lines 2800 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 3 Feb 2008 22:01:55 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 034 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly unsettled levels. Solar wind
speed remained elevated due to an ongoing high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
through day 1 (04 February). Activity is expected to diminish to
mostly quiet levels on days 2 and 3 (05-06 February) with the
departure of the high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Feb 071
Predicted 04 Feb-06 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 03 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Feb 019/019
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Feb 012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 45/10/10
Minor storm 15/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
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mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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