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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.02.09 00:06l 73 Lines 2912 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 15 Feb 2009 22:02:29 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Feb 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 046 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Feb 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
in the past 24 hours. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active conditions. ACE solar
wind speeds averaged around 580 km/s as Earth continues under the
influence of the recurrent coronal hole high speed wind stream
pattern. The interplanetary Bz ranged between +4/-4 nT. The
greater than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for 16 February.
Predominately quiet conditions are expected for 17-18 February.
III. Event Probabilities 16 Feb-18 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Feb 070
Predicted 16 Feb-18 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 15 Feb 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Feb 009/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Feb 009/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Feb-18 Feb 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Feb-18 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
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to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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