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OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.02.09 23:09l 72 Lines 2821 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 11 Feb 2009 22:01:53 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Feb 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 042 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Feb 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. A B1 flare occurred at
10/2311Z from newly assigned Region 1012 (S06E62). The new region is
a simple, A-type sunspot group. No other activity of note occurred
during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next two days (12-13 February). An
increase to unsettled with a chance for active periods is expected
for the third day (14 February) in response to a favorably
positioned coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Feb-14 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Feb 070
Predicted 12 Feb-14 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 11 Feb 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Feb 000/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Feb 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Feb-14 Feb 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Feb-14 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/35
Minor storm 01/01/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/35
Minor storm 01/01/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/10
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your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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