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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.01.09 00:04l 71 Lines 2768 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 18 Jan 2009 22:01:43 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jan 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 018 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jan 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The visible disk continued to be spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 19-20 January. During this
period, isolated active periods are possible at high latitudes due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Predominantly quiet
conditions are expected to return late on 20 January as the
high-speed stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 19 Jan-21 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Jan 071
Predicted 19 Jan-21 Jan 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 18 Jan 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jan 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jan 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jan-21 Jan 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jan-21 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/01
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/05
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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