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OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.01.09 23:04l 73 Lines 2923 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 14 Jan 2009 22:01:40 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jan 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jan 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity continued very low. Region 1010 (N18W33)
decayed to a now spotless plage. The day's most noteworthy event
occurred near 1500 UTC when remnants of a high latitude filament
were seen to lift from the disk in EIT, spawning a CME from East
Limb. However, magnetic field data show no obvious enhancement of
the fields in this area. Little else of interest occurred.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity will persist at very
low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to slightly unsettled. A Sudden
Impulse, possibly related to a faint CME on January 9, measured 13
nt at Boulder. It occurred at 0121 UTC.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet throughout the period.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jan 071
Predicted 15 Jan-17 Jan 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 14 Jan 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jan 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jan 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
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to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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