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OK0NAG > SOLAR    29.12.08 12:06l 71 Lines 2766 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2008 22:02:49 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Dec 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 363 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Dec 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low with no flares observed. 
The visible disk remained spotless.  SOHO Lasco C2 imagery observed
the first of four, weak CME's off the northeast limb beginning at
27/0530Z.  The last of these CME's was observed in C3 imagery at
27/1818Z.  None of these CME's are expected to be geoeffective.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet at all latitudes.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet throughout the forecast period (29 - 31
December).
III.  Event Probabilities 29 Dec-31 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           28 Dec 070
Predicted   29 Dec-31 Dec  071/071/071
90 Day Mean        28 Dec 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Dec  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Dec  001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Dec-31 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Dec-31 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

	  	  
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