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OK1HH > SOLAR 18.12.08 15:41l 45 Lines 1661 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : ICIOK0NAG00J
Read: GUEST
Subj: Forecast - Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<OK0PPL<OK0NAG
Sent: 081218/1439z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
Od: OK1HH @OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU (Franto) Pro: SOLAR @ EU
X-Info: Bez LOGIN hesla
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Dec 17 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 352 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Dec 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. The ACE spacecraft
indicated a possible CME signature from a filament that erupted on
12 December. There was a slight increase in wind speed and density
with minor fluctuations in the IMF.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (18-20
December)
III. Event Probabilities 18 Dec-20 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Dec 069
Predicted 18 Dec-20 Dec 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 17 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Dec 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Dec 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Dec-20 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Dec-20 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
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