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Date: Thu, 3 Jan 2008 23:39:13 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jan 03 2336 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
::::::::::CORRECTED COPY::::::::::
SDF Number 003 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No significant flares
occurred during the past 24 hours. Region 980 (S06E42) has decayed
to an Hsx alpha sunspot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. A chance remains for an isolated C-class flare from
Region 980.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next two days (4-5 January). This elevated activity may result
from transients associated with recent C-class flares.
Predominantly quiet conditions should return on 6 January.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jan 079
Predicted 04 Jan-06 Jan 080/080/085
90 Day Mean 03 Jan 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 008/010-008/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/25/20
Minor storm 15/15/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
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