|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 13.12.08 00:05l 75 Lines 3017 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : CCIOK0NAG011
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DB0GOS<ON0AR<F1ZNR<F6KFT<DB0LHR<OK0NHD<OK0PHL<
OK0PCC<OM0PBC<OK0PPL<OK0NAG
Sent: 081212/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
Priority: normal
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Thread-index: AclcpUxw753uDWUZRH2ZLaLvHz2flw==
Thread-topic: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2008 22:02:17 -0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1229119348-55d300040000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 12 Dec 2008 22:12:48.0656 (UTC) FILETIME=[C46CC900:01C95CA6]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Content-class: urn:content-classes:message
Importance: normal
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.3790.4325
X-barracuda-start-time: 1229119353
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Dec 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 347 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Dec 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1009 (S25W90)
produced a few A-class flares as it approached the west limb. A
filament centered at about N50W15 erupted between 0600-0800Z which
led to a slow CME off the northwest limb as observed by the SOHO C2
coronagraph beginning at 0930Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (13-15 December).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
during the next 24 hours (13 December) as a high speed stream is
expected to rotate into geoeffective position. Activity is expected
to be generally quiet for the second and third days (14-15
December). The CME mentioned in Part IA is not expected to be
geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 13 Dec-15 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Dec 071
Predicted 13 Dec-15 Dec 070/070/068
90 Day Mean 12 Dec 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Dec 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Dec 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Dec-15 Dec 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Dec-15 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/15/05
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |