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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2008 22:02:11 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 321 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W78)
continues to decay, presently a one spot HSX, alpha. No flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1008.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Two active periods were
observed from 0000 to 0600 UTC.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with isolated periods of unsettled
conditions.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Nov 068
Predicted 17 Nov-19 Nov 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 16 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Nov 003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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