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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 9 Nov 2008 22:02:07 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The solar disk was void of spots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels during the
past 24 hours. Activity levels were initially quiet but increased to
active levels from 0000-0600Z, then declined to unsettled levels
from 0600-1200Z, and were quiet for the remainder of the interval.
Solar wind observations at ACE indicate a gradual decline in solar
wind velocity (day-end values were around 450 km/s) as the
high-speed stream rotates out of geoeffective position. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (10-12
November).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Nov-12 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Nov 068
Predicted 10 Nov-12 Nov 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 09 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Nov 011/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Nov 012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Nov-12 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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