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OK0NAG > SOLAR 05.11.08 00:10l 73 Lines 2813 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 4 Nov 2008 22:02:13 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Nov 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1007 (N36W52) produced a
C1.0 flare at 0330Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 1007 has a chance of producing another C-class
flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on days one and two (05-06 November).
Unsettled to active conditions are expected on day three (07
November) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed solar wind
stream.
III. Event Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Nov 068
Predicted 05 Nov-07 Nov 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 04 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Nov 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov 005/005-005/008-020/030
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/50
Minor storm 01/01/35
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/25
Minor storm 01/01/50
Major-severe storm 01/01/20
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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