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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.10.08 00:57l 71 Lines 2733 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2008 22:01:45 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Oct 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 292 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Oct 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. An A9 X-ray flare occurred
at 18/1200Z with no obvious optical flare association. The visible
disk was spotless. Region 1006 (N26W91) rotated out of view during
the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels at all latitudes. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period (19 - 21
October).
III. Event Probabilities 19 Oct-21 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Oct 069
Predicted 19 Oct-21 Oct 069/069/068
90 Day Mean 18 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Oct 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Oct 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Oct-21 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Oct-21 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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