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OK0NAG > SOLAR 13.09.08 23:11l 73 Lines 2906 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2008 22:00:45 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 257 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours and the visible solar disk remains
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active levels for 14
September due to the approach of a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream. Predominately unsettled to active conditions, with isolated
major storming at high latitudes, are expected for 15 September,
Quiet to unsettled conditions are forecast for 16 September.
III. Event Probabilities 14 Sep-16 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Sep 066
Predicted 14 Sep-16 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 13 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Sep 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Sep 002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Sep-16 Sep 010/015-015/020-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Sep-16 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/20
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/40/25
Minor storm 10/15/05
Major-severe storm 01/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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