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OK0NAG > SOLAR 09.09.08 10:27l 72 Lines 2896 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Mon, 8 Sep 2008 22:02:07 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Sep 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 252 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Sep 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind data indicated Earth remained within a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream. However, solar wind velocities gradually
decreased from a high of 624 km/sec at 07/2131Z to a low of 534
km/sec at 08/2043Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels through the forecast
period (09 - 11 September).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Sep-11 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Sep 067
Predicted 09 Sep-11 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 08 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Sep 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Sep 007/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Sep-11 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
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