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OK0NAG > SOLAR    09.08.08 00:10l 70 Lines 2723 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 8 Aug 2008 22:01:42 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Aug 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 221 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Aug 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
was spotless.  No flares were observed in the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately unsettled with periods of active
conditions possible for 09 August due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.  Mostly unsettled levels are expected for 10
August, with quiet to unsettled conditions for 11 August.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Aug 066
Predicted   09 Aug-11 Aug  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        08 Aug 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Aug  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Aug  005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Aug-11 Aug  015/015-010/010-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/20/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                40/25/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

	  	  
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