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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Tue, 1 Jul 2008 22:01:53 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jul 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours and the solar disk remains spotless. A
small, six degree filament near N53W40 disappeared sometime between
30/1811Z and 01/0542Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first day (02 July). An increase to
quiet to unsettled is expected on the second day (03 July) and
predominantly unsettled conditions are expected to prevail on the
third day (04 July). The increase is expected because of a recurrent
high speed solar wind stream.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Jul 066
Predicted 02 Jul-04 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 01 Jul 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 005/005-007/008-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor storm 05/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/20/25
Minor storm 05/10/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
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your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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