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OK0NAG > SOLAR    01.07.08 12:17l 100 Lines 3630 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Monthly Ri Report
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Subject: Monthly Ri Report
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:Issued: 2008 Jul 01 1005 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/ri
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# MONTHLY REPORT ON THE INTERNATIONAL SUNSPOT NUMBER                 #

# from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                                        #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


Provisional International monthly mean Sunspot Number for
June 2008 : 3.1 (three point one)

Maximum : 9 on 5, 10 // Minimum : 0 on 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, 14, 
23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30

Provisional daily International Sunspot Numbers for June 2008 : 

      1..  0    6..  0   11..  8   16..  7   21..  8   26..  0
      2..  0    7..  0   12..  0   17..  7   22..  8   27..  0
      3..  0    8..  0   13..  8   18..  8   23..  0   28..  0
      4..  0    9..  0   14..  0   19..  7   24..  0   29..  0
      5..  9   10..  9   15..  7   20..  8   25..  0   30..  0

62 cooperating stations on July 1, 09 UT

Predictions of the monthly smoothed Sunspot Number using the last
provisional value, calculated for December 2007 :   4.9 (+-5%)

            SM    CM                 SM    CM                 SM    CM 
    

2008 Jan     4     3     2008 Jul     2     9     2009 Jan     4    19

     Feb     4     4          Aug     2    10          Feb     4    22

     Mar     5     5          Sep     2    11          Mar     4    24

     Apr     4     6          Oct     2    12          Apr     5    27

     May     3     7          Nov     3    14          May     6    30

     Jun     3     8          Dec     3    17          Jun     6    32


SM : SIDC classical method : based on an interpolation of Waldmeier's
standard curves; the estimated error ranges from 7% (first month) to
35% (last month)
CM : Combined method : the combined method is a regression technique
coupling a dynamo-based estimator with Waldmeier's idea of standard
curves, due to K. Denkmayr.
ref. : K. Denkmayr, P. Cugnon, 1997 : "About Sunspot Number Medium-Term

Predictions", in "Solar-Terrestrial Prediction Workshop V", eds.
G. Heckman et al., Hiraiso Solar Terrestrial Research Center, Japan, 103

 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #

# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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