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HB1PMS > PROP 20.03.25 20:27l 91 Lines 3317 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 19792HB1PMS
Subj: Issued: 2025 Mar 18 2200 UTC
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<PI8ZTM<PD1HBL
Sent: 250319/1838Z 33419@PD1HBL.#ZH1.NLD.EURO BPQ6.0.24
Message from: HB1PMS@PD1HBL.#ZH1.NLD.EURO
Hi All,
First off all this is a test of my internal forward routing PMS=>BBS
Sorry about that ....
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2025 Mar 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 77 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Mar 2025
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z to
18/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 13 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (19 Mar, 20 Mar, 21 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 480 km/s at 18/1810Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 18/2057Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
18/1223Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3091 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (19 Mar, 20 Mar) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (21 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 19 Mar-21 Mar
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 05/05/05
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Mar 184
Predicted 19 Mar-21 Mar 185/185/190
90 Day Mean 18 Mar 189
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Mar 014/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Mar 012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar 010/012-011/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Mar-21 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/20
Minor Storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 40/40/30
73 Henk. HB1PMS
(Message sent with Sally 7.2.033)
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____ ____ _____ ______ __
/ __ \/ __ < / / / / __ )/ / SYS: Windows Server 2016
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/ ____/ /_/ / / __ / /_/ / /___ ANT: HyEndFed
/_/ /_____/_/_/ /_/_____/_____/ QRV: 144.925 MHz (Packet)
Henk (pd1hbl@pd1hbl.#zh1.nld.euro) BBS=PD1HBL-3 JNOS=PD1HBL-7
Email: henk.blanken@icloud.com INT=PD1HBL-9 CHAT=PD1HBL-4
Web: www.pd1hbl.com PMS=PD1HBL-2
======================================================================
AXUDP :85.214.163.10 UDP 93
** Netrom/BBS HBLBBS::PD1HBL-3 (BBS)
** Netrom/Chat HBLCHT::PD1HBL-4 (Convers/Chat)
** Netrom/Node PD7HBL::PD1HBL-7 (Jnos)
** Netrom/Node PD8HBL::PD1HBL-8 (Bpq32)
** Netrom/Node PD9HBL::PD1HBL-9 (LinBpq)
======================================================================
** This message is generated with Sally 7.2.044
----------------------------------------------------------------------
** Timed woensdag 19 maart 2025 19:33 West-Europa (standaardtijd)
** BBS HB1PMS@PD1HBL.#ZH1.NLD.EURO
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