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LU9DCE > ALERT 06.09.24 09:37l 70 Lines 2387 Bytes #290 (0) @ WW
BID : 7078_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 06-SEP24
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<PI8ZTM<PI8LAP<PA8F<VE3CGR<KB5YZB<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240906/0730Z 7078@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI SEP 6 01:58:02 UTC 2024
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI SEP 6 01:58:02 UTC 2024.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI SEP 6 01:58:02 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI SEP 6 01:58:02 UTC 2024.
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SPC SEP 6, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 PM CDT THU SEP 05 2024
VALID 060100Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MID EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
...01Z UPDATE...
NOTABLE MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN
CO, IS DIGGING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IN LINE WITH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.
THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS INTO SOUTHERN NM BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. SCATTERED ROBUST CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE WHICH HAS PRODUCED SEVERAL SEVERE WIND GUSTS OVER THE LAST
FEW HOURS. 00Z SOUNDING FROM ABQ EXHIBITED A DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE
RATE IN THE LOWEST 3KM, WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WHILE PW
VALUES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY HIGH, ADEQUATE MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE FOR
EFFICIENT DOWNBURSTS. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, SCATTERED
STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL PROPAGATE TOWARD SOUTHERN NM WITH
AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR SEVERE GUSTS, OR EVEN MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
HOWEVER, BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING SHOULD LEAD TO WEAKENING UPDRAFTS IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THE SEVERE THREAT WILL LESSEN MARKEDLY AFTER
03-04Z.
..DARROW.. 09/06/2024
READ MORE
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