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LU9DCE > ALERT 30.08.25 09:43l 216 Lines 6370 Bytes #286 (0) @ WW
BID : 9664_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 30-AUG
Path: IZ3LSV<IK7IJR<IW2OHX<GB7OSW<VE3CGR<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 250830/0730Z 9664@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
JAVA SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (JSN)
COPYRIGHT 2025 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604
WW 604 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 292100Z - 300400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 604
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO
FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST NM
AND SOUTHEAST CO ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, POTENTIALLY REACHING THE WESTERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES.
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN CO/KS BORDER. THE
ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST
OF LAMAR CO TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF TUCUMCARI NM. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
29035.
...MOSIER
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0604 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 604
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E TCC TO
35 SSE DHT.
..SPC..08/30/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC117-359-300440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEAF SMITH OLDHAM
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC MD 2023
MD 2023 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604... FOR SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2023
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604...
VALID 300209Z - 300415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY STORMS AS THEY PROPAGATE
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS PERSIST THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS FROM NORTHWEST KS INTO EAST CENTRAL NM. THIS
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE AIDED BY A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT IS
FLATTENING THE RIDGE OVER CO. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH AMA AND DDC
EXHIBITED AROUND 7-7.5 C/KM LAPSE RATES, AND MORE THAN ADEQUATE
SHEAR FOR MAINTAINING THESE CLUSTERS AS THEY PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST.
WHILE LARGE-SCALE SUPPORT WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOURAGE SOME LONGEVITY,
BUOYANCY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE WEAK
LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS
AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST, BUT A NEW WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED
DOWNSTREAM.
..DARROW.. 08/30/2025
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35020341 36250183 37090193 37670288 38750140 36190105
34760273 35020341
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
READ MORE
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SPC AUG 30, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
VALID 300100Z - 301200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY TO MID EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW IS EVIDENT OVER
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH A RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
AT THE SURFACE, A MOIST AIRMASS IS LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS, WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE MOSTLY IN THE 60S F. AN AXIS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS ANALYZED ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE MOIST
AIRMASS FROM FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO
WEST-CENTRAL NEBRASKA. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING
NEAR THE INSTABILITY AXIS, WITH A FEW THAT ARE SEVERE. THE WIND
PROFILE ON THE WSR-88D VWP AT DODGE CITY APPEARS TO BE
REPRESENTATIVE ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS, WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 45
KNOTS AND STRONG MID-LEVEL SPEED SHEAR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT FROM EARLY TO MID EVENING, MAINLY
WITH THE STORMS THAT ARE CLOSE TO THE INSTABILITY AXIS. HAIL AND
ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE SEVERE THREAT
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS INSTABILITY DECREASES OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
..BROYLES.. 08/30/2025
READ MORE
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JAVA - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 4.1
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