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LU9DCE > ALERT    02.07.25 09:45l 239 Lines 6333 Bytes #298 (0) @ WW
BID : 6042_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 02-JUL
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6IHL<IK7NXU<HB9ON<DK0WUE<PI8ZTM<IR0AAB<VK2RZ<LU9DCE
Sent: 250702/0730Z 6042@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 482

WW 482 SEVERE TSTM NE SD WY 012205Z - 020500Z


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 482
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM MDT TUE JUL 1 2025

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NEBRASKA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT,
POTENTIALLY INCLUDING A COUPLE OF HIGH-BASED SUPERCELLS, IS EXPECTED
REGIONALLY THROUGH EARLY EVENING, WITH THE POSSIBILITY THAT A
LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER COULD EVOLVE LATER THIS EVENING.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF RAPID
CITY SD TO 50 MILES EAST OF SIDNEY NE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 481...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
29025.

...GUYER


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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 482 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0482 STATUS UPDATES


STATUS REPORT ON WW 482

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E SNY TO
40 SW 2WX.

..LYONS..07/02/25

ATTN...WFO...LBF...CYS...UNR...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 482

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

NEC005-013-031-045-049-069-075-091-101-117-123-161-171-020340-

NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARTHUR BOX BUTTE CHERRY
DAWES DEUEL GARDEN
GRANT HOOKER KEITH
MCPHERSON MORRILL SHERIDAN
THOMAS


SDC007-047-071-095-102-121-020340-

SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENNETT FALL RIVER JACKSON
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA TODD


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 481 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0481 STATUS UPDATES


STATUS REPORT ON WW 481

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW RIC
TO 30 SE BWI TO 15 ESE DOV.

..SPC..07/02/25

ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...RNK...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 481

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

DEC001-005-020140-

DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT SUSSEX


MDC009-011-019-037-039-041-045-047-020140-

MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CALVERT CAROLINE DORCHESTER
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WICOMICO WORCESTER


NJC009-020140-

NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAPE MAY


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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF WED JUL 2 02:16:10 UTC 2025

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF WED JUL 2 02:16:10 UTC
2025.

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SPC JUL 2, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CDT TUE JUL 01 2025

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE THIS EVENING OVER
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS, WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
RISK. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR A COUPLE
MORE HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST.

...NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, GENERALLY ALONG/EAST OF A SURFACE
LEE TROUGH. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS FAIRLY MODEST PER AREA
VWPS, SUFFICIENT WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO FOSTER AROUND 30-40 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND UPDRAFT
ORGANIZATION. PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS WILL POSE MAINLY A LARGE HAIL
THREAT AS THEY MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. AN INCREASING RISK FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WINDS MAY ALSO
DEVELOP GIVEN THE WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND GRADUAL UPSCALE
GROWTH ANTICIPATED. REFERENCE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1538 FOR MORE
DETAILS ON THE SHORT-TERM SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION. A
SEPARATE AREA OF MAINLY ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT ACROSS A BROADER PORTION OF SD IN A LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
REGIME. THIS ACTIVITY MAY HAVE AN ISOLATED HAIL THREAT.

...MID-ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST...
LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE THIS EVENING FROM PARTS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST ALONG/AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AN
ISOLATED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD PERSIST WHERE POCKETS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY REMAIN. BUT, GENERALLY MODEST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
AND A GRADUALLY STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A GRADUAL REDUCTION IN THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT THIS EVENING.

..GLEASON.. 07/02/2025


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