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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.12 16:31l 112 Lines 4487 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Oct 10 1249 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU284
UGEOA 30512 21010 1220/ 9930/
12102 20102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Oct 2012 until 12 Oct
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach active conditions with
risks of M class flares from a region, currently unnumbered, and located
on the east limb (S29E68). This regions produced a M1.7 flare on Oct.
09, peaking at 2327UT. There are risks of at least C class flares from
NOAA AR 1589. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet
during the next 48 hours. The Earth is located in a fast solar wind
stream linked to a small coronal hole.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 052, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 21010 1220/ 09///
1//// 21060 3032/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
09 2322 2331 2335 M1.7
Active region just behind the south east limb
END
UGEOR 30512 21010 1220/ 10/08 10106
10090 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 38208 00000
10091 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60004 46408 00000
10092 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 46312 00000
10093 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50130 60009 33018 02000
10094 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50080 60002 23411 00000
10095 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50160 60015 17114 15000
99999
USSPS 32404 09096 06422 19018 32020 21407 20006 24713 2/802 21002
45408 11302 22002 37009 1/801 23009 18513 21402
USSPS 21305 09152 06932 27022 32521 21305 28009 24413 2/802 29002
37309 0/102 30002 45708 01203 31012 17914 31307
USSPS 81202 09086 05142 28003 45108 11302 29012 18513 21402 26020
31921 24406 27009 24713 2/801
USSPS 81202 10003 05122 29018 17414 31406 27005 23813 3/801 26011
32819 31402 28005 46009 31302
USSPS 31405 10085 09732 90001 38208 01203 91002 46408 21304 92001
46312 01204 93013 33018 34409 94008 23411 21302 95016 17114 34415
UMAGF 30503 21010 1004/ 09061 1/028 24322 33432
UMAGF 31523 21010 ///// 0900/ 1/032 26544 32235
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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