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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.12 16:28l 112 Lines 4344 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU276
UGEOA 30512 21002 1225/ 9930/
11022 20022 38022
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 02 Oct 2012 until 04 Oct
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 124 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Solar flaring activity is decreasing. The active region
complex at the west limb (NOAA ARs 1577, 1578, 1575, and 1583) is
disappearing behind the limb. Only NOAA AR 1577 has sunspots visible on
the solar disk. NOAA AR 1584 is rapidly decaying. Another active region
appeared from behind the east limb (returning NOAA AR 1569). We expect
flaring activity on the C-level. A proton event is nevertheless still
possible (although unlikely) due to the active region complex at/behind
the west limb. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind flow as
the ICME interval is over. The solar wind speed is currently around 350
km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is around 5nT. We
expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 045, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 21002 1225/ 01///
1//// 21280 3023/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 01107 06022 06003 47908 2/801 11014 31309 2/801 14034
21112 4/801 17004 22524 21405 18002 46208 1/802
USSPS 21305 01157 06442 16002 47003 01204 19020 31310 31303 23029
20912 5/802 25004 22322 21304 26000 22107 0/101
USSPS 81202 01056 07122 25008 22626 21404 23030 21011 4/801 20020
31011 21302 16005 47110 31402 13006 48309 2/801 19003 47918 2/801
UMAGF 30503 21002 1004/ 01067 1/014 24121 31121
UMAGF 31523 21002 ///// 0100/ 1/023 26532 33221
UCMEO 93001 21001 2230/ 20928 61036 91654 0852/ 084// 313// 40609
20928 60955 81055 ///// ///// 1112/ 99999 PLAIN UCMEO 93001 21001
2230/ 20929 60012 80718 0802/ 079// 313// 30611 20928 62256 80026
///// ///// 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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