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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.12 14:38l 114 Lines 4260 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2012 12:23:16 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Oct 13 1215 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU287
UGEOA 30512 21013 1153/ 9930/
11132 22132 30132
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 13 Oct 2012 until 15 Oct
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 127 / AP: 032
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Eruptive conditions are foreseen for the next 48 hours, with
NOAA AR 1589 as a prime candidate for C-class flares, with a risk for an
isolated M class flare. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be active
for the next 24 hours, and then return to mostly unsettled conditions on
Oct. 14. Minor storm conditions (Kp=5) are currently observed today at
planetary levels, as well as at local level (K=5 in Dourbes from 06 to
09 UT). This activity is due to a coronal hole. Current readings of the
interplanetary magnetic field show a Bz value of about -5nT, up compared
to the -10nT observed earlier on Oct. 13.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 052, BASED ON 04 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 21013 1153/ 12///
10082 21220 3015/ 4//// 80205 90340
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 21013 1153/ 12/06 13105
10093 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60003 35518 00000
10094 2//// 3//// 472// 50070 60001 20811 00000
10095 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50180 60024 14614 17400
10096 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 25429 00000
10097 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60002 18308 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 12097 08222 19009 36019 2/801 20008 20712 2/801 23026
14514 27427 24002 25329 2/801 25015 18007 21402
USSPS 21305 12202 09032 31021 14014 31432 32024 17607 21403 33002
24830 2/801 28007 20113 2/801 27005 36718 21303
USSPS 81202 13028 09142 29026 13613 57534 31019 17106 21402 26008
36719 11303 27008 30313 2/801 30004 24332 2/801
UMAGF 30503 21013 1004/ 12064 1/023 22223 33234
UMAGF 31523 21013 ///// 1200/ 1/015 23422 32433
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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