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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.12 14:37l 110 Lines 4031 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
X-asg-orig-subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Oct 06 1226 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU280
UGEOA 30512 21006 1206/ 9930/
10062 20062 30062
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 06 Oct 2012 until 08 Oct
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Four sunspot groups are reported on the Sun, but none of them
looks very active in terms of flares. Solar flaring activity will
probably remain below the C-level, although an isolated C-class flare is
not excluded. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 340 km/s)
solar wind flow with a bit elevated (around 8 nT) interplanetary
magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the
coming hours due to low solar wind speed. A small low-latitude coronal
hole in the southern hemisphere reached the solar central meridian. The
fast flow emanating from it may arrive at the Earth on October 9,
interacting with the ICME corresponding to the halo CME observed on the
Sun on October 5. A weak geomagnetic disturbance (up to K = 5) will be
possible.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 028, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 21006 1206/ 05///
1//// 21060 3006/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 05075 05332 11014 36511 2/802 14028 34212 4/802 17001
33123 0/102 19016 23719 51407
USSPS 21305 05155 04632 27015 23120 31413 23021 34713 2/801 19014
36912 3/802
USSPS 81202 06001 04222 26017 22621 21408 23023 34911 5/802 20026
37110 3/802
UMAGF 30503 21006 1004/ 05068 1/014 21112 32331
UMAGF 31523 21006 ///// 0500/ 1/006 20011 31224
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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