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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.12 10:54l 101 Lines 3871 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Sep 29 1257 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU273
UGEOA 30512 20929 1215/ 9930/
11292 22292 38292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Sep 2012 until 01 Oct
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Sep 2012 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Sep 2012 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 034
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 012
COMMENT: There is a risk for isolated C flares from NOAA AR 1577 and
1579, which puts the expected solar activity at eruptive levels. The
proton event linked to the C3.7 flare of Sept. 27 is officially over,
but the proton level remains high and might goes up again during the
next 48 hours. Geomagnetic activity is expected to reach minor storm
levels during the same period, as the associated CME arrives at Earth,
with a revised arrival time by midday Sept. 30th. Two other CMEs were
observed during the last 24 hours. One is a halo CME observed by LASCO
on Sept. 28, 1036 UT, but it is a backside event. The other one is
observed by COR2 coronagraphs on Sept. 29, 0900 UT. The source region
seems to be beyond the west limb as observed from Earth.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 050, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20929 1215/ 28///
1//// 21380 3000/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UMAGF 30503 20929 1004/ 28060 1/005 21111 30001
UMAGF 31523 20929 ///// 2800/ 1/000 20010 30000
UCMEO 93001 20928 1214/ 20928 60000 80630 3001/ 299// 323// 31035
20927 62246 80024 43109 ///// 2112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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