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CX2SA > SWPC 25.08.12 00:23l 57 Lines 2216 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 608_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<VE2PKT<CX2SA
Sent: 120824/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA #:608 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:608_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Aug 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 237 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Aug 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No CMEs observed in the
past 24 hours are expected to be geoeffective. New Region 1554
(N16E12) was numbered overnight and has developed into a Dai type
spot group with a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class activity.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with active to
minor storm levels at high latitudes. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
periods. A chance exists for minor to major storm levels at high
latitudes. Increased activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Aug-27 Aug
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Aug 104
Predicted 25 Aug-27 Aug 105/110/110
90 Day Mean 24 Aug 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Aug 011/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Aug 008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 007/008-011/012-006/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Aug-27 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/25/20
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/20
Minor storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/35/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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