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CX2SA > SWPC 24.08.12 00:24l 57 Lines 2191 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 521_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<JE7YGF<7M3TJZ<CX2SA
Sent: 120823/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA #:521 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:521_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SA
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Aug 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 236 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Aug 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were a few low level
B-class flares observed. All spotted regions were quiet and stable.
New Region 1553 (S23E50), an Hsx/alpha type group, was numbered. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for C-class flares for the next three days
(24-26 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for days 1-2 (24-25 August). Day
3 (26 August) is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight
chance for an active period due to a high speed stream from a
coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Aug-26 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Aug 097
Predicted 24 Aug-26 Aug 100/100/105
90 Day Mean 23 Aug 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Aug 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Aug 008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 006/005-006/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Aug-26 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/15/25
Major-severe storm 05/05/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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