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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.08.12 15:34l 104 Lines 3856 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Aug 17 1246 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU230
UGEOA 30512 20817 1207/ 9930/
11172 21172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Aug 2012 until 19 Aug
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 013
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with
C-class flares likely. There are several possible sources: NOAA ARs 1543
and 1546, an active region behind the East limb approximately at the
same latitude than AR 1546, and an emerging AR, yet unnumbered at about
N07E30. A C4.7 flare occurred today, Aug. 17th peaking at 08:37 UT, but
it is not clear yet where the source region is. AR 1543 produced a C3.6
flare on Aug. 16th (peak time 13:16UT). It was associated with a halo
CME of moderate velocity (est. < 400 km/s). We do not expect significant
geomagnetic incidence from this event, and we foresee that geomagnetic
activity will be dominated on Aug. 18 th by the effects of a coronal
hole, leading to period of active conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 029, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20817 1207/ 16///
1//// 20980 3014/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 16070 03532 73039 43822 4/802 77006 18116 2/801 78000
14607 0/102
USSPS 81202 17010 04432 82003 13505 21307 80005 17016 2/801 77028
44525 41306
UMAGF 30503 20817 1004/ 16063 1/030 22134 33442
UMAGF 31523 20817 ///// 1600/ 1/014 22222 33434
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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