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OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.08.12 14:49l 127 Lines 4851 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Aug 02 1247 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU215
UGEOA 30512 20802 1035/ 9930/
11022 21022 30022
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 02 Aug 2012 until 04 Aug
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has been at eruptive levels during the past 24
hours, featuring six low C flares from NOAA AR 11532, 11535 and 11538.
C-level flares are likely within the next 48 hours, with a chance for an
M flare.
ACE observed a small shock in the solar wind around 10h UT on August 2,
which could be the effect of the CME of July 28. Currently, Bz is near
-10 nT and solar wind speed between 400 and 450 km/s. This combination
may lead to active intervals within an otherwise quiet geomagnetic
situation. The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels (K Dourbes between
0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) during the past 24 hours. Quiet (K
Dourbes smaller than 4) levels with isolated periods of active levels (K
Dourbes = 4) are likely for August 2. The geomagnetic field is expected
to be quiet on August 3 and 4.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 094, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20802 1035/ 01///
10161 21501 3006/ 4//// 80211 90860
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20802 1035/ 01/06 02111
10022 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 44517 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 33909 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 472// 50140 60002 32818 00000
10027 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50330 60010 30118 00000
10030 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50110 60012 21022 16100
10031 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 33616 00000
10032 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50120 60013 14620 16100
10033 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 32017 00000
10034 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60006 26622 04100
10035 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 10517 00000
10036 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 17413 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 01088 10922 57002 44716 2/801 58004 33911 2/801 60012
33519 21402 62028 30419 51404 64011 14620 21409 66008 21123 21507
67003 17313 2/801 68017 26522 21404
USSPS 21305 01158 12542 66014 14318 51513 69002 16914 3/801 68013
26122 31406 67010 20622 31314 62028 30619 51308 60010 33418 4/801
59003 34511 1/801 58001 45217 0/101
USSPS 81202 01055 12722 67030 14818 37512 70006 17212 1/802 69016
26320 31408 68014 20922 34509 64018 30318 54409 62010 32917 4/805
61002 33911 2/801 60001 44314 1/801
UMAGF 30503 20802 1004/ 01067 1/013 21122 32312
UMAGF 31523 20802 ///// 0100/ 1/006 22111 32223
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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